Sampling methods for investment portfolio formulation procedure at increased market volatility

نویسندگان

چکیده

Aim/purpose – In this paper, a market volatility-robust portfolio composition frame- work under the modified Markowitz’s approach with use of sampling methods is developed in order to improve allocation efficiency for financial in- struments formulation procedure at an increased volatility. Design/methodology/approach overcome risk not receiving optimal solution optimization (suboptimal outcomes attribution weights procedures) model, first, implements rationale that markets largely feature two states, i.e., quiescent (non-crisis; low volatility) periods are occasionally interspersed stress (crisis; high and, second, relies on many input samples rates return, either from empirical distribution or theoretical (mitigating estimation risk). All computational results reported publicly available historical daily data sets selected Polish blue-chip securities. Findings Not only did presented method produce more diversified allocation, but also successfully minimized unfavorable effects volatility by providing less risky portfolios comparison Newton’s method, typically used theory. Research implications/limitations The research emphasized get investment it crucial outdo limitations single sample (utilized model) which may some occasions be statistically biased. Thus was proved allow obtain concentrated and volatile contributes decision-making. However, current focused solely particular manner, additional analysis can prepared other jurisdictions asset classes. There considered than variance measures. Originality/value/contribution suggested framework existing wide array quantitative simulation tools composing unique directly addresses task minimizing adverse implications that, consequence, pertains knowledgeable attributing proportions individual institutional investors. hold demanded quality importantly, capacity further development. Keywords: decisions, techniques, selection, statistical methods. JEL Classification: C150, C610, G110.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

conditional copula-garch methods for value at risk of portfolio: the case of tehran stock exchange market

ارزش در معرض ریسک یکی از مهمترین معیارهای اندازه گیری ریسک در بنگاه های اقتصادی می باشد. برآورد دقیق ارزش در معرض ریسک موضوع بسیارمهمی می باشد و انحراف از آن می تواند موجب ورشکستگی و یا عدم تخصیص بهینه منابع یک بنگاه گردد. هدف اصلی این مطالعه بررسی کارایی روش copula-garch شرطی در برآورد ارزش در معرض ریسک پرتفویی متشکل از دو سهام می باشد و ارزش در معرض ریسک بدست آمده با روشهای سنتی برآورد ارزش د...

Policy Issues in Market Based and Non Market Based Measures to Control the Volatility of Portfolio Investment

The wave of financial crises in emerging markets since 1995 has led to increasing concern as to the consequences of the instability of international portfolio capital flows. The leading industrial countries are in the process of constructing a new ‘global financial architecture’. The causes of the growth and volatility of short term portfolio capital flows towards emerging markets are to be fou...

متن کامل

Importance sampling for integrated market and credit portfolio models

A sophisticated approach for computing the total economic capital needed for various stochastically dependent risk types is the bottom-up approach. In this approach, usually, market and credit risks of financial instruments are modeled simultaneously. As integrating market risk factors into standard credit portfolio models increases the computational burden of calculating risk measures, it is a...

متن کامل

A Neural-Network Approach to the Modeling of the Impact of Market Volatility on Investment

In recent years, authors have focused on modeling and forecasting volatility in financial series it is crucial for the characterization of markets, portfolio optimization and asset valuation. One of the most used methods to forecast market volatility is the linear regression. Nonetheless, the errors in prediction using this approach are often quite high. Hence, continued research is conducted t...

متن کامل

Investigating the Asymmetry in Volatility for the Iranian Stock Market

This paper investigates the asymmetry in volatility of returns for the Iranian stock market using the daily closing values of the Tehran exchange price index (TEPIX) covering the period from March 25, 2001 to July 25, 2012, with a total of 2743 observations. To this end, two sets of tests have been employed: the first set is based on the residuals derived from a symmetric GARCH (1,1) model. The...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Economics & Management

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2719-9975', '1732-1948']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.22367/jem.2021.43.04